UFC 195 kicks off the Ultimate Fighting Championship’s 2016 schedule with some traditional Octagon fare on Saturday at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. Welterweight has been one of the two marquee divisions during the UFC’s rise to power, and with its biggest star, Georges St. Pierre, gone from competition, no-nonsense elite fighters have stepped up to fill the void. While it does not stand to push any attendance, gate or pay-per-view boundaries, the UFC 195 main event is an under-the-radar welterweight title fight between champion Robbie Lawler and former interim titleholder Carlos Condit. At least from a competitive standpoint, it figures to extend the promotion’s current streak of hot headliners, which began at UFC 193 with Holly Holm-Ronda Rousey and continued at UFC 194 with Conor McGregor-Jose Aldo.
UNASSUMING LEGACY: Remember, the welterweight division is where St. Pierre’s “not impressed by your performance” was considered smack talk. The best of the best at 170 pounds have always been more concerned with fending off the competition than cutting promos about it. In an often silent-but-deadly weight class, Lawler and Condit are quiet enough staring around a room to let everyone know how much they do not need to talk. Take Condit’s 93-percent finish rate: No one is more prolific at taking out opponents at a high level. Only two of his 30 career wins have heard the final bell, and his finishes represent a near-even split between strikes (15) and submissions (13). He presents an appropriate threat to Lawler, who pushes close to an 80-percent finish rate. The difference: Lawler has only one submission to his credit. The 33-year-old champion boasts 20 wins by knockout or technical knockout and owns a 7-1 record since returning to the UFC two years ago. Nothing needs to be said for a can’t-miss title fight.
FIGHT PASS HEADLINERS: Lightweights Dustin Poirier and Joseph Duffy were set to headline a UFC Fight Pass event in Dublin in October. However, a last-minute concussion suffered by Duffy postponed the contest. To square up with Fight Pass subscribers, the UFC has kept the fight on the platform, this time on the UFC 195 undercard. Needless to say, there is a drastic difference between and empty Las Vegas prelim crowd and Ireland headliner around peak McGregormania. Poirier and Duffy take a step back in the third fight from the bottom at UFC 195. Realistically, theirs is probably the third best fight on the card.
BACK ON THE RADAR: Michael McDonald was barely old enough to legally drink in America when he began fighting the best bantamweights in the world. He knocked out former World Extreme Cagefighting champion Miguel Torres in April 2012, then submitted to Renan Barao after four rounds in an interim title fight in London 10 months later. He received a disclosed $15,000 for the effort. McDonald bounced back against Brad Pickett and went right back to top competition, pocketing $17,000 in a submission loss to Urijah Faber at UFC on Fox 9 in December 2013. Being on the wrong side of convincing losses left McDonald to question, “Was this adequate money to get hit by the world’s best on a regular basis?” He healed various injuries, sitting out two full years. McDonald returns to the cage a few weeks shy of his 25th birthday and will look for his sixth UFC victory against Masanori Kanehara. It remains to be seen whether or not McDonald can win enough to drum up larger paydays as he restarts his climb at 135 pounds. If he had been getting Sage Northcutt money while competing in title fights and facing former champions, he might have come back sooner.
AWARDS WATCH: If the Smartest Guy at the Bar could bet his life savings, it would be on Lawler-Condit for “Fight of the Night.” Expect a “Performance of the Night” bonus for McDonald, a hard-hitting bantamweight with a chip on his shoulder, and the welterweight slugfest between Lorenz Larkin and Albert Tumenov should yield rewards for the Russian.
Danny Acosta is a SiriusXM Rush (Channel 93) host and contributor. His writing has been featured on Sherdog.com for nearly a decade. Find him on Twitter and Instagram @acostaislegend.