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Preview: UFC Fight Night 216 Prelims

Kape vs. Dvorak


Flyweights

#12 FLW | Manel Kape (17-6, 2-2 UFC) vs. #9 FLW | David Dvorak (20-4, 3-1 UFC)

ODDS: Kape (-240), Dvorak (+200)

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This is one of the more interesting fights on the card, as the winner walks away with the best victory of his UFC career. It was good to see Kape turn things around in the back half of 2021, as the beginning of his UFC run was frustratingly unsuccessful. Kape was signed by the UFC when he was the Rizin Fighting Federation bantamweight champion, having set himself apart thanks to a nuclear level of athleticism and power as a knockout artist. “Starboy” was rightfully thrown into the deep end of the UFC’s flyweight division against Alexandre Pantoja, and it was a disheartening defeat. Kape essentially waited things out and attempted to pick his spot for a knockout that never game, essentially giving away the fight with his low-output approach. Kape then attempted to wash away that performance by stepping in as a late replacement against Matheus Nicolau five weeks later, but it was much the same thing. Kape could not find a finish and suddenly found himself on the fringes of the UFC roster. Fortunately, Kape spent the rest of the year reminding everyone why he had so much hype in the first place, scoring some brutal first-round knockouts of Ode Osbourne and Zhalgas Zhumagulov. However, 2022 has essentially been a lost year, with injuries to Kape and his opponents leaving him out of action until this fight against Dvorak. A standout of his native Czech scene, Dvorak has impressed through his four UFC fights to date, particularly since “The Undertaker” did not come to the promotion with much in the way of expectations. Dvorak outpaced his first few UFC opponents with a movement-heavy style built around pressure and countering before running into Nicolau in March, struggling against the rare opponent who was technically sharper than his usual standard. Dvorak should take the lead in terms of pace here, but it will be interesting to see how much he decides to flirt with danger by attempting to draw out and counter Kape’s high-powered offense. It is an approach with which Dvorak could find some success, but the main issue is that one false move could put him at huge risk of suffering a knockout loss. The lean is that Kape can find something, but this is a well-matched fight that should serve as a huge proof of concept for the winner. The pick is Kape via second-round knockout.



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