Dustin Poirier owns eight first-round finishes. | File Photo: Sherdog.com
Featherweights
Erik Koch (13-2, 2-1 UFC) vs. Dustin Poirier (13-3, 5-2 UFC)Before a rash of injuries sidelined him for more than a year, Koch was booked to face reigning 145-pound king Jose Aldo at multiple events. Perhaps it was for the best that the Roufusport member did not get that opportunity, as he was soundly beaten by top contender Ricardo Lamas at UFC on Fox 6 in January. Prior to that defeat, the 5-foot-10 Koch had begun to establish himself as a fighter with dynamic knockout power and an active submission game. Against Lamas, however, a costly error in judgment resulted in Koch being overpowered and battered with a series of brutal elbows on the canvas. Before the finish, Koch was often neutralized in tie-ups by Lamas and struggled to put together any combinations of significance during exchanges.
Considering the recent tear Cub Swanson has been on, Poirier acquitted himself nicely by going the distance with the Jackson’s Mixed Martial Arts product at UFC on Fuel TV 7. While Swanson’s speed and athleticism proved to be the difference, Poirier was game throughout, attacking with combinations and making his foe work to defend takedown attempts.
Poirier will have a three-inch reach advantage against his fellow southpaw, but his success depends largely on his ability to force Koch to fight away from his strengths. That means using his punches and kicks to close distance, at which point he can take down Koch and force his opponent to defend ground-and-pound and submissions from his back. On the feet, Koch does a good job mixing up his kicks, and he might find success landing to the body, as Swanson did repeatedly against Poirier in February.
Koch actually displayed solid takedown defense for the majority of his bout with Lamas, but Poirier should remain persistent in attempting to wear down “New Breed.” Poirier has been rocked by both Swanson and Chan Sung Jung in past bouts, and he faces a similar risk in prolonged exchanges with Koch. On the floor, Poirier will have to proceed with caution inside Koch’s active guard; getting too reckless will leave him vulnerable to submissions during scrambles and transitions.
The Pick: This matchup promises back-and-forth action wherever the fight may go. Poirier would seem to have a few more options overall, but his aggression could leave him vulnerable. Koch finds a submission in round two.
Last Fights » The Prelims