The X Factor: If nothing else, Guillard has the clobberin’ time routine down pact and Tibau’s work on the feet hardly lives up to his reputation on the mat. Keeping this fight on the feet will be a challenge for Guillard. He’ll give up both size and skill to Tibau, but his whole game is about landing the one shot he needs to turn a fight into target practice. As always, Guillard is as live an opponent as you’ll find, but just how much that matters come fight time depends on two many variables to make him a favorite.
The Bottom Line: Guillard’s only hope will turn into his undoing, as he tries to storm Tibau from the opening bell only to end up charging into a Tibau takedown. From there, it’ll be a jiu-jitsu clinic with Guillard getting the short end of the stick and Tibau beating the sense out of him with the long end of the stick. It won’t take long for Guillard to make a fatal mistake and Tibau to seize on it by shorting out Guillard’s synapses with a fight-ending guillotine choke.