Strikeforce ‘Rockhold vs. Jardine’ Preview: The Main Card

---

Middleweights
Robbie Lawler (18-8, 2-4 SF) vs. Adlan Amagov (9-1-1, 2-0 SF)

The Matchup: Amagov has not lost a fight in four years, but that streak figures to face a stern test against Lawler, a veteran of some of MMA’s most memorable slugfests. Amagov put his own knockout power on display at Strikeforce Challengers 20, finishing Anthony Smith inside of a round. Now 2-0 on American soil, the Russia-based Chechen can add a significant feather to his cap with an upset against Lawler.

The heavy-handed Lawler is well known for his one-shot finishing power, but in recent losses, opponents like Tim Kennedy and Ronaldo “Jacare” Souza have forced him out of his element by keeping him grounded. Amagov would be wise to take a similar approach. Although he has shown knockout power himself, his tendency to throw wild punches plays right into Lawler’s hands. The UFC and Pride Fighting Championships veteran is at his most dangerous when he can stand outside the pocket and measure his power punches. A reckless Amagov would create just the type of opening Lawler needs to land a devastating lead right hook or overhand left.

Amagov’s best hopes lie in countering his opponent, slowing him down with inside and outside leg kicks and getting the fight to the canvas. Lawler possesses tremendous upper body strength and explosiveness, so Amagov will have to set up his takedowns behind well-timed, precise strikes. A prolonged exchange only increases the likelihood of Lawler landing one decisive kill shot. Further complicating matters is Lawler’s skill at shedding opponents when they get a hold of him, as well as creating scrambles to get to his feet when on the mat.

The Pick: It takes a skilled wrestler or grappler to throw Lawler off his game, but given his recent history, Amagov is more likely to want to test his skills on the feet against one of the game’s most dangerous strikers. Amagov has shown a decent right hand, but he must be cautious even if he connects because Lawler’s power makes him capable of rallying at a moment’s notice. A conservative game plan would serve Amagov well here, but sometimes temptation can be too great, and Lawler will catch him in the second round for a knockout victory.

Continue Reading » Next Fight: Muhammed Lawal vs. Lorenz Larkin