UFC 133 Preview: The Prelims

Mike Thomas Brown (pictured) has lost four of his last six. | Photo: D. Mandel

The Matchup: Brown’s flat performances of late are confusing, striking little resemblance to the power-punching, uber-strong powerhouse that once held the WEC belt and bested Urijah Faber twice. It may be a result of overtraining. Phan returns to the Octagon after his controversial decision loss to Leonard Garcia at “The Ultimate Fighter 12” Finale in December, when he showed excellent conditioning in a fast-paced, three-round punch-fest.

This bout really swings on whether Brown can reclaim his peak form -- discounting the loss to Jose Aldo, who at his best beats any 145-pounder alive -- and implement his strong wrestling, big right hands and solid submissions. Phan is quicker afoot, with good punching, a stout chin and excellent movement.

The Pick: This is a crossroads fight for Brown. The ex-champion will survive some tough moments, getting buzzed on the feet a time or two. Once he gets the takedown, he will take over, piling up points with ground-and-pound and ultimately getting a close decision.

Next Fight: Rafael Natal vs. Paul Bradley