Jeremy Stephens has not lost since dropping to 145 pounds. | Photo: D. Mandel/Sherdog.com
Featherweights
Darren Elkins (17-3, 7-2 UFC) vs. Jeremy Stephens (22-9, 9-8 UFC)Violent victories over Estevan Payan and Rony Mariano Bezerra at 145 pounds highlighted the best of Stephens’ abilities. The win over Bezerra, in particular, was impressive because “Lil’ Heathen,” a man not usually known for his kicking prowess, defeated Rony “Jason” with a vicious head-kick knockout. Long known as a headhunter with his hands, this could be a sign that the Iowa native is still making improvements. More importantly, the drop in weight should aid both Stephens’ offensive wrestling and his takedown defense.
When Elkins finds himself under duress -- and he will if he chooses to engage in a firefight here -- he usually resorts to takedowns and ground-and-pound. His resilience paid off in wins over Hatsu Hioki and Diego Brandao. In both bouts, he was in serious danger in the opening frame before surviving to grind out decision victories over the final 10 minutes. If he is unable to ground Stephens consistently, this instantly becomes a more dangerous fight for “The Damage.” Despite his reputation as a wrestler-slash-grappler, Elkins has not always been the most efficient takedown artist: His rate of 39 percent, per FightMetric, is underwhelming. However, he is adept at staying busy with offense, which eventually pays off if the bout goes the distance.
Stephens is not likely to be bullied by Elkins, but he could leave himself vulnerable to level changes and takedowns by swinging and missing with haymakers. He must also be prepared to go the full 15 minutes because of Elkins’ resilience and durability.
The Pick: Stephens is capable of ending this with one blow, but Elkins’ ability to weather the storm and maintain pressure for three rounds carries him to a decision.
Last Fights » The Prelims