Bantamweights
Scott Jorgensen (13-5, 2-1 UFC) vs. Eddie Wineland (18-8-1, 0-2 UFC)
Jorgensen entered his UFC 143 bout with Renan “Barao” Pegado fully expecting to be able to dictate the location of the fight. Instead, the highly regarded Brazilian controlled the action, keeping Jorgensen at bay with a varied standup attack while stuffing every one of his opponent’s takedown attempts. While “Young Guns” has certainly improved his striking over the years, it was not enough to carry him to a victory over “Barao” by itself.
The former Boise State University wrestling standout might have a difficult time overpowering Wineland, who is one of the strongest competitors in the 135-pound division. Instead, the Twisted Genetiks product will have to use his quick right hand and solid one-two combinations to set up takedowns. Wineland has serious power, especially in his right hand; a right hook had Benavidez reeling for a moment in their UFC Live 5 encounter. The 27-year-old Indiana native will have to keep the fight upright in hopes of landing a fight-altering blow. His upper body strength will serve him well at shrugging off tie-ups, a spot where Jorgensen has proven adept at doing damage.
On the mat, Jorgensen does not usually allow many scrambles, as he is generally the one maintaining positions. Wineland, however, would seem to be capable of getting to his feet if he is taken down.
The Pick: Wineland gets the edge in pure knockout power, but it is difficult to envision Jorgensen being finished by punches. The Idaho native will utilize decent movement to land combinations and score a few key takedowns, with Wineland battling back with brief flurries of aggression. In the end, Jorgensen does enough to earn a narrow decision.
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